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AI Builders 日报 — 2026-06-14

追踪 AI 领域真正在做事的人,而不是空谈者。

今日思考

今天最值得关注的信号来自 Garry Tan 和 swyx 两条看似无关、实则指向同一个核心问题的推文。Garry Tan 说精英录取系统 18 年来一直在训练学生"更快找到已知答案",而 AI 正在让这个答案变得免费且即时。swyx 引 Satya Nadella 则说真正的机会不是选模型,而是在模型之上建立学习循环,让人类资本和 token 资本共同积累。两句话合在一起说出了同一件事:AI 让"知道答案"这件事彻底贬值,值钱的是提出正确问题的能力,以及能把人类专业判断编码进系统并持续迭代的组织方式。 那些从第一天起就设计"认知闭环"的公司,护城河会随时间越来越深;只是把 AI 当工具用的公司,优势会随模型能力提升快速被抹平。


产品与发布

skills.sh 突破 70 万智能体

AI 智能体市场 skills.sh 有机增长突破 70 万个智能体,所有增长来自社区驱动。继续验证"AI 时代的工作单位是智能体而非应用"这一判断。faviconx.com


观点与判断

Garry Tan(Y Combinator CEO)

  • AI 让"答案"成为大宗商品,溢价转向未知领域 Elite admissions 系统 18 年训练的是"比所有人更快找到已知答案",但 AI 已经让这个答案即时免费。那些为赢得竞争付出最大代价的孩子掌握的技能突然成了大宗商品。真正的溢价现在转移到了"没有答案可循"的问题上——即第一个站在未知土地上探索、为后来者做准备的人。faviconx.com

  • 住房供应才是解药,不要被租金补贴迷惑 租金管制补贴需求而非增加供给,这是政策上的大忌。真正需要的是大幅增加供给。任何告诉你"租金管制是对的"的人,只是想让你的租金继续涨。faviconx.com

  • 开源是企业的逃生舱口 在大公司把企业数据和服务绑定在闭源模型商身上、然后用这些数据训练下一代模型的时候,开源是唯一能让企业长期保持自主权的方式。faviconx.com

  • "授权路径"不会以压迫的形式到来,它以便利的形式到来 一个社会可以在没有戏剧性时刻的情况下失去自由——只要把越来越多的思考外包给"答案归属于他人"的基础设施。必须保护开源和开源模型。faviconx.com

  • 住房 NIMBY 和数据中心 NIMBY 是同一批人 他们反对科技、反对繁荣、补贴需求、阻止供给,然后对"为什么大家最后都变穷了、为什么没有工作"表示惊讶。按 NIMBY 的逻辑行事,只会得到成本病和更多的市场失灵。faviconx.com

swyx(AI 工程化研究者)

  • Satya:真正的 IP 是认知循环,不是模型本身 真正的机会不是选最好的模型,而是在模型之上建立学习循环,让人类资本和 token 资本共同积累。你可以外包一个任务,甚至一份工作,但你永远无法外包你自己的学习。每个组织都必须拥有自己的学习循环,把机构知识编码进去,这是他们真正的护城河。faviconx.com

Yann LeCun(Meta 首席 AI 科学家)

  • 如果没有西方开源前沿玩家,全球 AI 生态将走向中国标准 Bill Gurley 发出警告:如果美国政策进一步限制中国开源权重的访问,美国最终只会剩两三个封闭系统服务国内市场,而全球六 billion 人(欧洲、非洲、东南亚、拉丁美洲、印度、中东)会选择免费、开源、可自托管、不受制裁的 AI 栈。中国开源模型可能在 2030 年成为全球默认,美国将自我孤立于全球大多数 AI 用户之外。faviconx.com

Guillermo Rauch(Vercel CEO)

  • 用 AI 写代码的人分两派,"Ship 富者愈富"效应加剧 一派人整天发推谈 AI 写代码但似乎什么都没发出去;另一派人产出急剧增加、不断发布有价值的东西。后者比前者更能远超规模,这个"ship-rich will get richer"效应比 AI 出现之前更极端。faviconx.com

技术动态

swyx(AI 工程化研究者)

  • Fable-5 综合领先,但开源模型在 ML 工程任务上已超越前沿模型 7 个前沿模型在 3 类自动研究任务上的基准测试结果:Fable-5 综合领先,即使在成本约束下也胜出;但在 ML 工程任务上,开源模型 Kimi-K2.7-Code 已超越前沿模型。faviconx.com

X / Twitter

36
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
Siqi Chen Siqi Chen
not a single person on this list was born a billionaire
the world that i want to build, live and vote for is a where this will continue to be true every generation, except the numbers keep getting larger
petergyang
petergyang @petergyang
We need more amazing martial arts movies (and I need 10% of my feed to be about martial arts, anime, and games 😅). Go watch The Furious it's amazing.

James Gunn: Oh boy! Just went with a bunch of #ManofTommorrow cast & crew to see #TheFurious. I didn't think Kenji Tanagaki could outdo himself after the spectacular Walled In, but man The Furious really showed him as one of the best action filmmakers working. We all loved it!

garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
Meg Bear (she/her) Meg Bear (she/her)
Sense making right now requires getting close to the work and being close to the tech.
Garry Tan: In AI most people are still trying to use old maps on a new territory.
Throw the maps away. It's time to draw new ones. The only way you can do it is walking the land.
petergyang
petergyang @petergyang
YOLO

Garry Tan: @tabflows Don't spend so much time thinking about how people think about you

We're all going to die

Who gives a fuck
ylecun
ylecun @ylecun
Retweeted
Daniel Jeffries Daniel Jeffries
This ugly reality is staring us right in the face:
Americans will have walled AI gardens where we beg for access from a few East India companies, open source will get banned on national security grounds, and 6 billion people who aren't American, aka the rest of the world, will standardized on a Chinese AI stack.
Bloated. Broken. Slow. Ugly.
There's still time to change it but it's slipping through our fingers like fast running sand.
Read this passage below from Bill Gurley because it's about to become our hideous reality if we don't change course quickly.
"If a credible Western open frontier player does not emerge, the consequences cascade quickly.
This is the inverse of the early Internet wave. In the 2000s and 2010s, Western companies — Google, Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft — dominated globally while China carved out its own walled garden. The AI version flips that dynamic on its head. Without a credible Western open frontier player, the only open models capable of running entire economies are made in China. If U.S. policy further restricts Chinese open-weight access on national-security grounds, the U.S. ends up with two or three closed Cathedrals serving the U.S. market — and the rest of the world picks the AI stack that is free, capable, self-hostable, and not embargoed. Europe, Africa, Southeast Asia, Latin America, India, the Middle East. Roughly six billion people. Chinese open models become the global default by 2030, and the United States ends up technologically isolated from the majority of the world’s AI users. We would have done it to ourselves."
Fully essay in replies.
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
Paul Graham Paul Graham
How to Earn a Billion Dollars: https://paulgraham.com/earn.html
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
toly 🇺🇸 toly 🇺🇸
Democratic slopulism: states that do not want to build housing or datacenters or anything productive and have self inflicted high costs for everything as a result will want to tax the people of states that build housing and rockets and electric cars and datacenters, to pay for the self inflicted high costs of everything
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
I would pay extra for a Spotify subscription for my agent so it stops having so many refusals the second I quote some lyrics to it
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Elite admissions select for one trait: getting the known answer faster than anyone else. 18 years of optimizing against an answer key someone already wrote.

AI just made the answer key free. Everyone has it instantly now.

So the kids trained hardest to win spent their whole lives mastering the one thing that's now a commodity. The premium moved to the questions with no answer key yet.

We need a new training.

The new training is about one thing:

How to be the first person standing in a new land, exploring it, preparing it for the coming billion people who will need it. The future will be built by these people.

And there is a lot to build.
petergyang
petergyang @petergyang
Retweeted
Peter Yang Peter Yang
"I'm not an engineer but somehow I'm able to ship things of value, which is crazy and weird and still blowing my mind."
Here's my new episode with @mvanhorn, a non-technical founder who has contributed to 100+ open source projects and reached 44K+ GitHub stars despite not knowing how to code.
We cover:
→ How he uses Compound Engineering to build without reading code or plans
→ How you can use Printing Press to give your agent access to almost any website or app
→ How he contributed to Python, Go, OpenClaw, and other top repos
Some quotes from Matt:
"My favorite tool for building anything is Compound Engineering. The killer skills are CE plan and CE work."
"What if anyone could print their own CLI? Google Flights and Kayak don't have an official API, but Printing Press lets you find all the secret APIs that exist."
"Just build, just launch. It's okay even if you build something for yourself. Even if I had no users of Agent Cookie, I get value out of it."
📌 Watch now: https://youtu.be/BxEf3RqIHkw
Thanks to our sponsor:
@RiversidedotFM: All-in-one AI studio for podcasts and video https://creators.riverside.com/PeterYang
@wisprflow: 4x faster than typing with your voice https://ref.wisprflow.ai/peteryang
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
voided intern voided intern
MrBeast reveals why a 10% better video gets you four times the views, not 10% more
"I mentor YouTubers a lot. One of the people I've been mentoring recently, he was doing $24,000 a month and then he recently had a $400,000 a month on YouTube."
"He was doing 4 million views a month, 24 grand. And then probably like seven, eight months into it we got him up to 45 million views."
"It's much easier, as weird as it sounds, it's much easier to get five million views on one video than a hundred thousand views on 50 videos."
"You could upload one great video a year and get more views than if you uploaded 100 mediocre videos."
"If you get people to click your video 10% more and watch a video 10% longer than mine, you don't get 10% more views. You get like four times the views. A 10% better video is four times the views, not 10% more views."
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
Paul Graham Paul Graham
Re @blader Fortunately this is already happening. Between 1982 and 2020, the number of the richest 100 Americans who got their money by inheritance decreased from 60 to 27.
https://paulgraham.com/richnow.html
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Hey so could we start building housing again in SF, that'd be great thanks!

Rohin Dhar: Buckle up folks

garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Rent control subsidizes demand

We need to dramatically increase supply

Anyone who tells you otherwise just wants your rent to go up

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/what-does-economic-evidence-tell-us-about-the-effects-of-rent-control/


Rohin Dhar: Rent control in San Francisco is not going anywhere. If anything, cases like this will eventually cause it to expand dramatically in San Francisco

garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
The mistake: Using AI for simple tasks

You should use it for complex, multi-stage tasks that involve lots of people and moving parts

Rohan Paul: MIT, Stanford, New York Univ, Princeton paper says AI can make people feel more efficient even when they are not actually becoming much more efficient.

that people often use AI for simple tasks because it feels like it saves time and effort, but the measured benefit is often

garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Re We're so early and nobody knows how to actually use this stuff yet
amasad
amasad @amasad
This is the most inspiring positive-sum vision for AI in the enterprise.

Satya Nadella: http://x.com/i/article/2065582894790365184
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
The Gestalt Prayer by Fritz Perls

I do my thing and you do your thing. I am not in this world to live up to your expectations, and you are not in this world to live up to mine. You are you, and I am I, and if by chance we find each other, it’s beautiful; if not, it can’t be helped.
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
Olivia Moore Olivia Moore
Nothing more energizing than a week of meeting with @ycombinator companies!
Congrats to @garrytan and the whole team for another fantastic cohort - and to the founders taking big swings.
YC is often a few months ahead of the market - trends I noticed from the batch 👇
1. "Real economy" AI is here. Manufacturing, supply chain, logistics, etc. We have agents that can reliably operate across platforms, plug into legacy equipment, and scrape data from systems of record. Businesses that haven't bought new software in decades are now customers of AI.
2. The broker and the agency are becoming software. Founders are taking businesses that have always run on human middlemen and rebuilding them as agent-run platforms. This both unlocks labor budgets + allows you to own transactions and get outcome data that can be further used to improve the product / build a network.
3. Vertical AI is (often) routing around incumbents, not integrating with them. For many founders, the new playbook is to skip the official API entirely (computer-use, front-end reverse-engineering) so legacy software can't shut you off. Fragmented industries with no dominant platform are suddenly wide open.
4. Founders are going upmarket early, not eventually. ACVs for the first few customers are going up. Founders are starting on enterprise logos from day one and treating SMB as validation they've already outgrown. This might mean 1-2 $100k + ACV customers in the first 6 months versus a long tail of $10 - $20k logos.
5. Everyone is moving to the US - fast. A striking number of teams are international and already have real traction in their home markets, but are relocating to the US within weeks (visas in progress) post-YC to chase the bigger market. Yes, there will be outliers who build massive cos locally - but SF is the center of gravity.
6. Self-improving products are here. Teams are spinning up companies operated by agent "org charts" - who can not only run the product but proactively and autonomously make it better over time. Customers can prompt their own workflows...or the product will start to do this intelligently over time (on a per-product basis).
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
urban cowboy urban cowboy
I'm so glad we have "progressive" stalwarts like @saikatc that throw their massive wealth and resources behind anti-transit, anti-housing NIMBY candidates when they lose 😂
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
888.8k followers

lucky day
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
Y Combinator Y Combinator
Happy Alumni Demo Day!
swyx
swyx @swyx
Retweeted
Zhengyao Jiang Zhengyao Jiang
We benchmarked 7 frontier models on 3 categories of autoresearch tasks: ML engineering, harness/prompt engineering, and algorithmic discovery.
Fable-5 won overall even under cost constraint, but on ML engineering, the open model Kimi-K2.7-Code surpassed frontier models.🧵(1/5)
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
Ankit Gupta Ankit Gupta
I learned today that several YC series A companies are so profitable with tiny teams that they beat quant salaries for top new grads
rauchg
rauchg @rauchg
gm 🥋
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
The permissioned path does not arrive as tyranny. It arrives as convenience.

A society can lose its freedom this way without a single dramatic moment, simply by routing more of its thinking through infrastructure that answers to someone else.

We must protect open source and open source models

Aaron Wright: http://x.com/i/article/2065906192170274816
swyx
swyx @swyx
Re Satya on loops as IP:
https://x.com/satyanadella/status/2066182223213293753
> This is the first time we can create a real cognitive loop between people and digital systems. That is a mind-bender, because it changes how we even conceptualize work inside an enterprise.

> This means the real opportunity is not in picking the best model but instead in building a learning loop on top of models where human capital and token capital compound. You can offload a task, or even a job, but you can never offload your learning

> In my view, our priority has to be building a frontier ecosystem, not just a frontier model, so value flows broadly across every company, every industry, and every country. One where every organization can own the learning loop that encodes its institutional knowledge, compounding its human and token capital.

Satya Nadella: http://x.com/i/article/2065582894790365184
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
The housing NIMBYs and the datacenter NIMBYs are all the same people

Hate tech, hate prosperity, subsidize demand, block all supply, be surprised when everyone ends up poor with no jobs

Swann Marcus: Seattle is banning new data centers despite the fact their entire economy and tax base these days is literally just the tech sector and nothing else after they killed every other industry

Legit impressed by their record-breaking “Become Detroit - Any% speed run”
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Re Veto supply through process, socialize the costs, then act shocked when prices climb and jobs leave.

The fix is the same too: reform the review process, build the housing, build the grid and datacenters.

If we do the fix, we'll have prosperity. If we do what the NIMBYs want we just get cost disease and more market failure.
rauchg
rauchg @rauchg
There seem to be two main groups

1️⃣ Those who post all day long about using coding agents but don’t seem to ship anything

2️⃣ A small group whose output has dramatically increased and are constantly shipping valuable things

The irony is that the ratio of these probably remains unchanged from before AI even existed. It also seems 2️⃣ can outship 1️⃣ even more so the “ship-rich will get richer” so to speak.
rauchg
rauchg @rauchg
I have 🇯🇵 winning 2-0 ⚽
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
Nicolas Dessaigne Nicolas Dessaigne
A founder pitched me this week with spectacular numbers. But they opened with a two-minute backstory... By the time the traction slide came up, the room had half-decided they were ordinary. They weren't.
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
Mehul Mehul
the older you get, the more this feels right
Garry Tan: @tabflows Don't spend so much time thinking about how people think about you
We're all going to die
Who gives a fuck
rauchg
rauchg @rauchg
http://skills.sh has passed 700,000 skills. wild!
all organic and community-driven.
the open⎵ai ecosystem!
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Retweeted
Diana Diana
1/ fast AI inference is about to replay the history lesson from search engines on why low latency is so important
garrytan
garrytan @garrytan
Open source is the escape hatch for businesses to be able to continue to control their own destiny long term

dom: My interpretation of this:

Right now, Anthropic and OpenAI are making a killing by selling enterprise FDE services to F500s, building workflows for them on top of proprietary models, then using the traces and context from this to build RL envs to improve the models.

This is

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